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Much DeLay about Nothing

The DC Guy
September 30, 2005 | Comments (8)

tomdelay.jpgDespite what you're hearing about doom and gloom for the GOP, the chances of the charges against Tom DeLay sticking are pretty low. In case you haven't seen these yet, the indictment papers are available online. It's also extremely debatable whether the indictment will have any real effect on the political landscape. That's not me being a partisan - that's me being realistic.

What's a little conspiracy among friends?
Under Texas election law, corporations are prohibited from making political contributions to candidates. In 2002, the Texans for a Republican Majority PAC (TRMPAC) solicited and received over half a million dollars in contributions from corporations.

The indictment alleges that DeLay conspired with two of the PAC's directors to knowingly violate the campaign finance laws.

Partisanship aside, is this a really a huge big deal?

No. I know there are a lot of people out there who wish it were, but it isn't. This thing has been hashed and rehashed for years now.

Two of the TRMPAC Directors were already indicted on charges of violating the campaign finance laws in Texas earlier in September. DeLay wasn't mentioned anywhere in the indictments.

There was already a court case on them not reporting these contributions last May. The TRMPAC treasurer was found liable for not reporting the contributions, but the judge did not rule on the legality of the contributions themselves (which will be decided when the criminal case goes to trial).

Old news isn't always good news
This whole story is old news. No one in DC was surprised that these charges came. DeLay himself was expecting them to come, which was why the Republicans tried to amend their rules back in November of 2004 to ensure that if he were indicted, he wouldn't have to step down.

Thanks to the furor the Democrats were able to whip up, the rule requiring a member to leave the leadership if they are indicted remained in place.

If there was any surprise, it was that Ronnie Earle (who needs a better website, wow) took this long to actually get his indictments.

The bottom line here is that Speaker Hastert is a political ally of DeLay's, and gives credit to DeLay for him being named Speaker in the first place. So DeLay's not going anywhere. He may not have much official power, but he'll still speak with the weight of the Republican leadership behind him.

With most of America now believing these charges to be politically based, the effect on the overall scheme of things in Washington will be negligible.

I like the alliteration in "Culture of Corruption"
As for this being a hammer (pun intended) with which the Democrats can assail the Republicans in next year's elections, don't hold your breath. While they are doing so well with the "Culture of Corruption" talking points provided by Howard Dean that even Rush Limbaugh and News Busters have picked up on it, it's not really going to make much of a difference.

The elections are nearly a year away, and the chances that anyone will remember what happened this time of the year - a time filled with Roberts, Katrina, Rita and the as-yet-unnamed Supreme Court Pick #2 - is slim.

The only person who really will benefit from this is Nick Lampson, a former Texas Congressman who lost his seat thanks to the DeLay-orchestrated Texas redistricting and who is now running against him. He can use this indictment to increase his fundraising nationally.


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Comments (8):
1) Posted by: Steve
September 30, 2005 2:51 PM

You wrote:
"The indictment alleges that DeLay conspired with two of the PAC's directors to knowingly violate the campaign finance laws.

Partisanship aside, is this a really a huge big deal?"

Yes... I would hope that most people would think an elected official knowingly violating the law is a big deal, and your opinions on this matter are clearly partisan.

You also write:
"With most of America now believing these charges to be politically based, the effect on the overall scheme of things in Washington will be negligible."

Yet the website that you link to states:
" On Wednesday night, 43% said the charges were based upon the facts involved while 31% said they were politically motivated.

On Thursday, following a full day of news coverage, 37% said the charges were based upon the facts while 39% said they were politically motivated."

Sorry to break the news to you but... 39% IS NOT MOST. But don't let the facts get in the way of your opinions.


2) Posted by: The DC Guy
September 30, 2005 3:04 PM

Steve, you misunderstood what I meant by "is this a big deal" - clearly, any kinds of violations of the law by an elected official are a big deal and should Delay be found guilty, he should serve whatever sentence the courts hand down to him. What I meant by "is this a big deal" was "is this the scandal that takes down the Republican party? Is this scandal enough to end DeLay's political career"? In that way, it isn't. DeLay's career will not end, and this will not result in the Republicans losing the House next November.

And yes, perhaps saying "most" was a bit premature. However, an 8% jump in public opinion following a day's worth of press coverage is pretty significant. It will be interesting to see if Rasmussen does another poll over the weekend to see if this trend continues.

Keep in mind, this column is about giving readers a glimpse as to how things really work in Washington - I don't intend to use it as a platform to bash one political party or another. If you think that I am in anyway defending DeLay, you're reading too much into what I'm writing. This is meant to be objective - and objectively, I don't believe this will be a major blow to the party. Only time will tell if my analysis is correct.


3) Posted by: Maurice Reeves
September 30, 2005 3:12 PM

I think it's crap that you want to let campaing finance abuses slide. Just because it's not a surprise doesn't mean that it's still not reprehensible.

People vote Senators and Representatives into positions of power and give them the ability to craft law. The least they should be doing is following the very laws they institute.

Perhaps it's not a big deal that the Clinton's conspired with Vincent Foster to cover up details of the Whitewater scandal...what's a little conspiracy amongst friends? Right?

Maybe next you'll say "It's not a big deal that Nixon broke into the DNC office. And it's not a big deal that Karl Rove leaked a CIA agent's name."

Perhaps you would like to give carte blanche to our lawmakers to ignore rules willy-nilly. What a disaster that would be.


4) Posted by: The DC Guy
September 30, 2005 3:23 PM

Maurice, you're missing the point of my column. I'm not judging whether or not DeLay is guilty of the crime - that's not my place, a jury will do that. What I am saying is that this indictment will not have a major effect on events in DC, because it was not a surprise. Everyone who has been following DeLay's trials and tribulations have been expecting this indictment for quite a while. It isn't like some of the other political scandals that hit with no warning and caused major repercussions for the individual or their party.

Despite what my opinion may be on the current campaign finance laws (perhaps I'll write a column explaining why they don't work some time), if DeLay committed a crime, he should be held accountable for it. The law is the law, and no one is above it.

Again, my concern here has nothing to do with defend DeLay - he doesn't need me to do that, nor do I desire to - but to explain that this indictment is not going to result in any kind of major upheaval.


5) Posted by: furius george
September 30, 2005 4:09 PM

How come we get to hear all about Tom Delay and his 1 count indictment by a partisan who knows no bounds let alone the definition of prosecutorial discretion, but not a damn thing about the IDENTITY THEFT committed by Chuck Schumer's crew?

http://www.nynewsday.com/news/nationworld/nation/ny-usschu224436974sep22,0,1690297.story?coll=ny-nationalnews-headlines.


6) Posted by: The DC Guy
September 30, 2005 4:19 PM

That story was completely covered over by Hurricane Rita coverage, Furius. I was paying attention to it mainly because I'm tracking the Maryland Governor's race.

There will probably be more on it, if charges are filed against the staffers. Schumer is the head of the DSCC, but its really only a figurehead position. He's the champion fundraiser of the Democratic Party, so he's got the job since that's primarily what the DSCC is all about. These staffers were probably out on their own, trying to dig up as much dirt as they could. I don't know why they'd be going after Steele, since he's not running for Senate, but maybe it was preemptive. In any case, we'll hear more about this soon, I'm sure.


7) Posted by: Cabol
October 5, 2005 11:01 AM

I am still bothered that Sandy Berger's story didn't get more attention. What he and Kerry did was far worse than DeLay's antics, yet last I heard Berger was getting jack squat for coverage. It's pathetic.


8) Posted by: Scott
October 5, 2005 3:27 PM

The latest news is the conspiracy charages have been dropped and new charges of money laundering were made.


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